ELECTIONWATCH
THE MIDTERMS · NOV 03, 2026
CONNECTINGEvery signal. One screen.
— EASTERN
Election Day is underway/Early voting + markets now. First scheduled poll closings at 6 PM ET.
01
The market board
WIN CHANCESDem = DemocratsRep = RepublicansMarket-implied win chances, not vote share
| RACE / MARKET FAVORITE | POLYMARKET | KALSHI | DEM GAP | DEM Δ |
|---|
Connecting to Polymarket and Kalshi…
Only live source data appears here.Markets refresh every 20s · Waiting
02
2 MINThe reporting desk
Loading reporting…
PBS NewsHour + NPR03
UF Election Lab Before the count
TURNOUTLoading state turnout reports…
D registration R registration Other / unknown
04
The next signals
6:00 PMIN · KYEastern-time precincts7:00 PMGA · VA · FL**Most FL; final IN/KY7:30 PMNC · OHFirst Senate signals8:00 PMME · PA · MI**Most Michigan; final FL9:00 PMAZ · MI · WIFinal MI; AZ data 10pm
Selected closings · Eastern time